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根据nexgenwars.com的数据,XBOX360已经突破800万销量~~~
(动态数据,每分钟更新一回,刷新即可)
关于nexgenwars.com的数据问题，James Simpson，网站的缔造者，是这么说的：
http://nexgenwars.com/forum/showthread.php?t=6
It basically just takes time and research to estimate the numbers as closely as possible.
What I have done is gotten charts of monthly sales for the past few years, and figured out certain trends. Then I have gotten past sales data and estimated the pace at which the consoles will sell. After I have the estimate and the counter running, I just watch out for anny official announcements, and adjust anything accordingly.
The site has been up since early July, and I haven't had to adjust the sales for the Xbox 360 since then. So far my estimation method has been pretty much right on. Now for the new consoles it is a little harder since there is no previous sales data to go off of. What I do for these is research how many they are expecting to have on launch and by the end of the year. For the launch counter I get it to around the number expected, and then I slow it down to pace it so that it will reach a good estimate for the end of the year, and as usual I will adjust anything if any official word comes in.
大意就是计算出主机销量的数学模型，然后按照这种计算方法预估主机的实时销量；360是已经发售的成熟主机，有着很稳定的销售规律，预测比较准确；而新发售的PS3和Wii，预测起来就不是那么容易了。。。。。
不过James会定期按照官方声明手动调整，也就是说，数据在动态变换中并不能严格反映现实的销售情况，但在一定阶段的销售结果是比较准确的！！！  . |
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发表于 2006-12-6 14:01 · 江苏
